Part B · Trade — Chapter 6

Bi-weekly scan & filter

After this: turn the whole market into a list of ≤5 coins worth a setup, in about 15 minutes.

The scan is a filter, not research

The point of his watchlist is a sub-15-minute scan that removes the junk, so time goes only to the few coins with strength and a story. "Don't ask me what this coin does… I really don't care." The scan finds the same coins the researchers find, just faster. Fifteen minutes once a week, done consistently.

flowchart TD
  A[BTC: trending, sideways or down?] --> B[ETH vs BTC]
  B --> C{Spacebar alts:
better than BTC in 4 s?}
  C -->|no| X1[skip]
  C -->|yes| D{Tradable?
liquid, no algo steps, no pump wicks}
  D -->|no| X2[skip]
  D -->|yes| E{Actionable?
respected 200s nearby}
  E -->|no| W[watch only]
  E -->|yes| L[List of 5 or fewer → Ch 7 setup]

▶ Watchlist W10 0:06 ▶ Watchlist W10 0:46 ▶ Watchlist W10 7:13 ▶ Trend Reclaims 0:10 ▶ Watchlist W8 14:33 both

BTC first, then ETH, then alts

BTC is the "base layer": is it trending, sideways or down, and which 200s has it reclaimed? Then compare ETH. If BTC is going sideways in 2% while ETH trends 6%, there is no reason to trade BTC over ETH. Higher beta leads to alts.

Nothing to do here.
Same market, better chart.

▶ Watchlist W16 0:05 ▶ Watchlist W10 1:23 ▶ Watchlist W10 3:09 ▶ Watchlist W11 0:09 both

Keep what already beats BTC

Flip through the alts with the spacebar on the 4H. Apply the four-second rule: does it obviously look better than BTC? Relative strength means it "did two months ago what BTC is just starting": it broke its range, made a HH, and is now retesting. Going sideways while the market bleeds also counts. One higher high on the 4H is a "polished turd". "Strength tends to attract more strength."

Seeking its first structure break.
Seeking continuation HHs.

▶ Watchlist W6 17:24 ▶ Watchlist W6 17:41 ▶ Watchlist W11 12:50 ▶ Watchlist W11 13:19 ▶ Watchlist W16 15:47 ▶ Watchlist W17 8:10 both

Drop what you can't trade

Outperforming isn't enough. Drop algo-driven stair-steps, wick-riddled and illiquid coins, manipulated pumps, "2017 dino" coins, strength built on a 1m trend, and fresh narratives with no structure. "I want to be able to see structure. I want to be able to trade trends." In year-end illiquidity, random 30% wicks mean skip first-test bids.

Keep.
Not actionable unless already in.
No structure to lean on.
Grinds through the zone.

▶ Watchlist W9 1:50 ▶ Watchlist W8 12:17 ▶ Watchlist W8 12:43 ▶ Watchlist W6 7:55 ▶ Watchlist W10 26:20 ▶ Watchlist W15 11:09 both

Strong is not the same as actionable

In a rising tide everything goes up, so pick by strength and actionability. GALA was the strongest coin but had nothing to buy. "Is that an actionable analysis or is it just analysis?" A HTF 200s 40% below price is a light bulb, not an entry. Either find a nearer MA the coin respects, or leave it as an honorable mention (see Ch 5).

Watch only.
Actionable.

▶ Watchlist W11 7:03 ▶ Watchlist W11 8:36 ▶ Watchlist W11 10:02 ▶ Top 5 (Mar) 1:33 ▶ Top 5 + BTC 18:13 ▶ Top 5 (Mar) 12:10 both

Find the 200s the coin respects

Cycle 4H → 3H → 2H → 1H → 30m 200s and keep the one price actually touches. That's the coin's trend portrayal. HTF 200s are irrelevant if price never visits them. Only respect a line the coin respected recently: "don't suddenly use an MA price ignored". He splits them into HTF / local / parabolic tiers. The ladder then tells you what comes next: to reach the slow one, price must lose the fast one first (Ch 2).

Trade the one with touches. The slow one is only the next target if the fast one breaks.

▶ Best Alts 14:00 ▶ Watchlist W13 2:19 ▶ Watchlist W6 15:07 ▶ Watchlist W15 8:47 ▶ Watchlist W14 18:54 ▶ Watchlist W13 20:35 swing

Too fast = not your coin

If only the 5m 200s portray the trend, he skips it: he won't screen-watch for 8 hours. On 5m/3m "R changes 0.3R per tick". He sits and waits for 30m or higher, and is fine missing rallies below that. Your floor is higher (see the bi-weekly box), but the rule is the same.

Strong, but untradable at your timeframe.

▶ Watchlist W14 6:25 ▶ Top 5 (Mar) 11:38 ▶ Top 5 (Mar) 14:16 ▶ Top 5 + BTC 20:10 both

Review last list: keep or drop

Each new list starts with an honest review. A coin that shows up again next week means the pick worked. Keep it while its HTF trend (4H 200s + demand) holds. Drop it when it stalls into a range with no MA to play, when the trend breaks into downtrending structure, or when it's untradable and better choices exist.

flowchart LR
  P[Last list pick] --> H{Still above its
4H 200s + demand?}
  H -->|yes, trending| K[Keep · repeat pick = good pick]
  H -->|ranging, no MA to play| D1[Drop]
  H -->|lost trend + lower high| D2[Drop]
  H -->|strong but untradable| D3[Drop once better choices exist]

▶ Best Alts 0:53 ▶ Watchlist W14 3:35 ▶ Watchlist W13 4:02 ▶ Watchlist W11 12:27 ▶ Watchlist W17 0:48 both

BTC sets how many trades you take

Opportunity comes in regimes: "utopia" (throw darts), "oasis", or "puddle". In the Nov–Dec 2022 bear/illiquid puddle his list was "polished turds": few trades, no pre-bids, wait for LTF strength. "When Tron is your strongest coin…" the list itself tells you the regime. BTC sideways with alts trending means trade the higher-beta outperformers. In a rising tide, pick the strongest actionable coins and think bigger. Three trades a week is fine. Go live your life.

BTC regime decides activity, not your boredom.

▶ Watchlist W6 0:25 ▶ Watchlist W6 17:31 ▶ Watchlist W8 8:55 ▶ Watchlist W8 1:07 ▶ Watchlist W11 7:19 ▶ Watchlist W6 19:44 both

If → then