Part B · Trade — Chapter 7
Setups & entries: archetypes, bid vs reclaim
After this: name which of 8 setups a listed coin is in, and choose to bid the zone or wait for the reclaim.
Every setup is the same three parts meeting
Support zone + trend MA + market structure. Setups differ only in where they meet. His best entries stack several at one price: 2H 200s + old range high as demand + HTF mid-range + structure. The "trifecta" is 200D + previous range high + local trend MA + HH/HL. Lose that stack and price goes to the range lows, whichever low your stop was under (Ch 3).
▶ Top 5 + BTC 19:23 ▶ Watchlist W16 5:41 ▶ Watchlist W16 15:19 both
The 8 setups he keeps repeating
Deduped across 15 watchlists (Nov 2022 – Mar 2023). Each sketch: where he buys, what kills it. A ninth, the multi-year downtrend reversal, is an investor setup and comes in Part C.
swing Terms: deviation, white space, price discovery.
Two ways in: bid the zone (A) or wait for the reclaim (B)
At a HTF zone you can step in front of the train and bid it (A), or wait for the LTF breakout and 30m 200s reclaim, then "assume the low is in" (B). "Everything is a balancing act between probabilities and risk reward." They move inversely, like a seesaw.
| A · bid the zone | B · wait for LTF reclaim | |
|---|---|---|
| RR | higher | lower |
| Perceived probability | lower | higher |
| Main risk | "entry and then some" | opportunity cost: reclaim happens while you sleep |
| Use when | clean market, fast impulse into zone, stacked confluence | illiquid, slow bleed, lone gray box |
▶ Watchlist W16 8:11 ▶ Watchlist W17 2:13 ▶ Watchlist W17 2:32 ▶ Trend Reclaims 2:45 ▶ Trend Reclaims 3:37 ▶ Watchlist W7 12:40 ▶ Watchlist W9 11:31 swing
Don't pre-bid a slow bleed
The fear isn't missing the bottom. "Your fear is I get my entry and then some": the bid fills and price keeps bleeding. A fast impulse into a zone can be pre-bid. A slow grind with a dying narrative can't. Set-and-forget bids only work in the right environment. Otherwise wait for LTF strength. "You're obviously much better off waiting for some strength to develop after having tested a key region."
▶ Watchlist W5 6:38 ▶ Watchlist W6 6:54 ▶ Watchlist W6 9:19 ▶ Watchlist W6 10:57 ▶ Watchlist W9 9:32 ▶ Top 5 + BTC 12:22 both
Missing is fine. Chasing isn't.
If the trend MA bounces before your zone, the bid was front-ran: no fill, keep watching. If LTF strength shows before your retest, cancel the bids and accept the opportunity cost. No market orders into illiquid breakouts (slippage). Late catch-up entries are "musical chairs": in thin markets they get stopped.
▶ Watchlist W17 10:15 ▶ Watchlist W9 5:45 ▶ Watchlist W9 7:03 ▶ Watchlist W10 9:52 ▶ Watchlist W6 5:20 ▶ Best Alts 16:12 both
If → then
- Zone has MA + S/R + structure at one price → valid setup. One part alone → paper foundation, skip.
- Fast impulse into a stacked HTF zone → bid it (A).
- Slow bleed, illiquid, dying narrative → don't pre-bid. Wait for strength or skip.
- Price turned before your bid → front-ran. No chase.
- Zone lost at review → cancel the bid. That's the plan working.
- Range broken in the HTF trend direction → bid the old range high + HTF 200s.